[Update] The hottest VC trends of 2019 – Nexit Ventures | vcs 2019 – Vietnamnhanvan

vcs 2019: คุณกำลังดูกระทู้

One of our most popular posts last year was our review of the hottest VC trends of 2018. So, without further ado, here is an updated version for 2019.

Similarly to last year, we reviewed a ton of VC and startup related reports and studies and:

1. Compiled some of the most interesting trends

2. Added some of our own conclusions and predictions.

Strong VC activity continued

In 2018, we saw another 50% growth in VC activity, with a staggering total amount of $255 Billion invested:

  • Companies residing in the Americas still dominate the global scene with 53% of the total investments received with $136 Billion
  • Companies in Asia Pacific raised funding actively and investment activity grew to over $90 Billion, but the global share declined slightly because of the super-fast growth in Americas
  • VC funding to European companies grew only slightly to just over $24 Billion, but the global share of European VC dropped to under 10% of the global investment activity.

Despite the record amount of funding, the global number of deals declined for the third year in a row – the focus was in large late-stage deals:

  • There were nearly 150 funding rounds with a post-money valuation of $1 Billion or more, with Ant Financial (China, $14B) and Juul (US, $12.8B) leading the way
  • Especially the large, global VC funds were acting more and more like Private Equity players and concentrated on very large later-stage deals
  • In total, there are now more than 300 private unicorn companies globally – it can be said that in many cases IPOs are being replaced with mega rounds that include exits by the early investors, while late-stage investors keep companies private for a longer time

The European perspective

  • Europe and the Nordic region are producing a fair amount of unicorns but they are primarily funded with US-based investments. Nordics and Baltics are the clear sources of late-stage growth, with fifteen 1B USD+ exits, representing more than half of the European unicorns.
  • The median deal size in Europe took a big leap to the right direction but is still clearly behind the rest of the world
  • The Nordics – and especially Finland – are, unfortunately, clearly behind the rest of Europe when we look at deal sizes. See the graph below for details:

Another worrying VC trend: Finland lags behind in deal sizes

Finland lags badly behind in median deal sizes
(KPMG Venture Pulse Q42018 report and  for
Finland estimates from the Invest Europe EDC database 2017)

Corporate Venture Capital

  • The share of Corporate Venture Capital kept growing and CVCs were involved in over 20% of all VC deals
  • However, there was a sharp decline in CVC participation in Q3 an Q4, most likely due to the stock market correction

Venture investments by stage

Funding volume is up but the number of deals is down – again

Emerging markets are stepping up

  • China is the undisputed king of VC in APAC but companies from Singapore (Grab), Indonesia (Tokopedia), and India (Swiggy) raised $1B+ rounds
  • Large rounds are happening in outside of APAC, as well. The Brazilian digital content provider Moviles raised a $500M+ round in Q4
  • Companies from emerging economies such as Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, India, Malaysia, and Indonesia attracted well over $8 billion in investment

Valuations and up rounds still growing

  • Deal sizes and valuations rose in all stages
  • The portion of up rounds was further up, reaching nearly 80% with down rounds amounting to just over 10%
  • Investment terms remained very entrepreneur-friendly

A strong exit market, affected in Q4 by the stock market correction

  • The total exit market (including both M&A and IPOs) set an easy all-time-high with more than $300B in exits. This was more than double than the exit volume of the already robust 2017
  • Exit activity was particularly high in Q2 and Q3, but came down in Q4 amid the global stock market correction
  • The number of M&A transactions was lower than any time since 2010 but the dollar amount hit a new record at nearly $100B

Fundraising continues to be strong

  • While the number of new VC funds declined somewhat, the total dollar amount raised hit a new high at $78 Billion
  • While the share of first-time funds grew somewhat, follow-on funds still amounted to over 80% of new funds
  • Both the number and relative share of $100M+ funds grew clearly compared to earlier years
  • However, in Finland, only one fund of more (ever so slightly) than 100 Meur has been raised
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Nexit’s take on VC trends

We would like to offer four predictions based on our experience and the way we look at the market and technology landscape:

  • 2019 will be an exciting and unpredictable year in the VC industry. While 2018 was a record year, the Q4 stock market correction did impact the market and volatility grew. Stock markets are still nervous and the political situation (e.g. US vs. China, Brexit, India vs. Pakistan) is more unsettled than it was at the beginning of 2018.
  • As we predicted last year, Corporate Venture Capital did cool down with the H2 market correction (albeit the overall CVC share grew). While the levels are still high, continued growth is dependent on how the stock markets recover during the year.
  • We predicted that the ICO market would cool down during 2018 and this did indeed occur. As we said last year, we believe ICOs do not go away as a funding mechanism but that they will develop into a safer and more consumer-friendly crowdfunding vehicle. Legislation and regulation controlling ICOs will undoubtedly get tighter.
  • We continue to believe in the digital disruption and the enabling technologies behind it. This is an extremely important and long-lasting trend that will keep growing in 2019 and far beyond, impacting heavily all industries around the globe. This is a great source of opportunities for entrepreneurs (and VC funds).

Digital Disruption is an on-going, long-term, global megatrend

We at Nexit believe that the next long-term productivity-enhancing set of technologies have emerged to transform business-to-business operations and various industrial processes.

  • Machine Learning based technologies augment scalable operating models, bring better predictability and faster, a more agile way for companies to react to dynamic changes in their operating environment.
  • AI-based advanced hardware platforms and data-driven software stacks help companies to enable or exploit new business opportunities.

A perfect storm with the current available talent, readily available and affordable computing capacity, and the ability and the instrumentation to capture relevant industrial data from the business and product operations is here today. According to the World Economic Forum, AI-generated digital dividend will exceed 100 Trillion dollars of value to societies and business, and industrial actors can capture nearly 13 Trillion USD of value from AI by 2030.

PriceWaterhouseCoopers, McKinsey & Co., and World Economic Forum all estimate that global GDP could be 14% to 16% cumulatively higher (13-16 trillion USD) in 2030, due to the adoption of applied artificial intelligence technologies across different industries. McKinsey further estimates that up to 70% of the companies have adopted AI-based technologies by then– but not fully.

Unfortunately, Europe’s share of investments in applied artificial intelligence technologies is only 9% of the global investments (mimicking the modest share of the overall VC activity in the region). Other factors slowing down adoption and the use of machine learning as a competitive advantage in Europe, are relatively conservative corporate cultures in European corporations and lack of adoption in data-driven strategic decision making.

We believe that corporations in Europe will have to start increasing adoption of the applied AI technologies, through acquisitions of AI-based products and services and potentially incorporating startups via M&A to their core future business operations.

European share of the M&A deal flow has been around 30% of the global M&A deal flow in terms of cases, but only 18% in terms of dollar value. To speed up the adoption and to create competitive advantages, European corporations could increase the inflow of new ideas, technologies, and talent via faster and more aggressive investment and M&A activity.

Northern European applied AI startup ecosystem has never looked stronger in terms of quality and opportunities to invest in our opinion. Nexit Ventures is executing our mission to invest Nordic growth capital sustainably and profitably to strengthen the digital disruptor’s positive impact on society.

Sources and further reading

Below please find some principal sources used in researching this blog post and other good sources of venture industry information.

 

[Update] European Venture Report: VC Dollars Rise In 2019 | vcs 2019 – Vietnamnhanvan

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Venture capital deals in the United States and China tend to get the most attention, but VC dollars flowing to Europe have quietly been on the rise.

According to Crunchbase data, over $122 billion has been invested in European startups, across 48 countries, in the last five years.

And 2019 is a record year for European startups with companies raising over $36 billion–a five-year high, and over $7 billion more than European startups raised the previous year. Year-over-year growth tracks at 25 percent. Since 2015, the amount of money raised by European startups has more than doubled.

Strong European growth in 2019 contrasts with our reporting on overall global venture, which is down year over year (largely based on China late-stage fundings slowing down in 2019). For the U.S. and Canada, invested dollars are projected to grow at a small percentage. It is worth noting that 2018 was a peak for global venture funding over the last 10 years and grew 47 percent year over year from 2017 to 2018.

Both our global and North American reports use projected data in order to overcome reporting delays. With our European report we look at reported–not projected–data, which means that 2019 numbers will increase over time, relative to previous years. We also excluded private equity and corporate rounds for this report.

Northern Europe, which Crunchbase News defines as including the United Kingdom, Nordic countries, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia, pulled in the majority of that amount–$18.63 billion to be exact. The U.K. can take credit for that, as it led the region in deal and dollar volume for the past year. Sweden, also part of Northern Europe, is the fourth-largest country for European funding rounds in 2019.

Western Europe raised $14.9 billion in 2019. Western Europe includes Germany, France and Switzerland–three countries in the top six by funding counts and amounts.

Eastern and Southern Europe, which includes Spain (in the top six), Italy and Poland raised $2.5 billion in funding in 2019.

Year-over-year deal counts could be perceived to be down. However, early-stage deal counts–Series A and B–are on par at 1,000 rounds for both 2018 and 2019, with later-stage venture deal counts up  by 16 percent year over year. With much of the difference in funding round counts attributed to the seed stage, where we see the most reporting delays, we fully expect these numbers to go up during 2020. Reporting delays for funding amounts are less pronounced in Crunchbase data.

In terms of deal volume, the United Kingdom took first place by far, with 1,425 deals totaling $14.31 billion in 2019, representing 40 percent of European funding in 2019. Germany was the runner-up, with 444 deals adding up to $6.65 billion (18 percent) last year. France wasn’t far behind Germany, with 425 deals totaling $4.39 billion (12 percent) in 2019.

The largest venture funding round for 2019 was London’s OneWeb, which raised $1.25 billion in March in a round led by Softbank–also the only VC round for a European company that was over $1 billion, according to Crunchbase. London’s Deliveroo took second place with its $575 million Series G, and Germany’s Flixbus took third place with its €500 million (approximately $555 million) Series F.

Investors In European Startups

Let’s take a look at the firms that are most active in European startups at each stage–seed, early- and late-stage venture.

The investors at the seed stage in European startups represent a mix of pre-seed/accelerator funds typically investing below $100,000 along with seed funds investing around $500,000 to $3 million.

The leading pre-seed stage investors include Hiventures Investment Fund, a Hungarian state-owned venture fund and Venture Kick from Switzerland, which provide pre-seed funding to entrepreneurs from Swiss Universities. SOSV and Techstars are global accelerators with Europe-based accelerator programs. Startup Funding Club is a U.K.-based business angels club.

Germany-based High-Tech Grunderfonds, Seedcamp in the U.K., and Kima Ventures in France are all among the most active seed-stage investment funds leading the larger seed rounds.

Active early stage investors (Series A and B rounds) in 2019 include Idinvest Partners, Partech and Bpifrance, which are all based in France. The next set of investors, Index Ventures, Parkwalk Advisors, Balderton Capital and Downing Ventures are all U.K.-headquartered firms. Northzone is in Sweden and Speedinvest is in Austria. Earlybird Venture Capital, Global Founders Capital and HV Holtzbrinck Ventures are all based in Germany.

When viewed by investors leading Series A and B rounds, a few new venture investors rise to the top 12 namely Atomico (U.K.) , e.ventures (U.S.) and Serena (France).

The most active investors in late-stage rounds include European and global players. Late-stage rounds are comprised of Series C+ rounds, as well as venture rounds above $15 million. Firms not previously mentioned include Accel, a U.S.-based venture firm with a well-established London office celebrating 20 years this year.

Firms in this list that lead at late stage are Goldman Sachs, an investment banking firm, and Insight Partners which invests in growth-stage startups. Both are headquartered in New York. Eurazeo a PE and venture firm based out of Paris also leads late-stage rounds.

“An important development we saw this year is that the outside world now also shares our homegrown belief in European tech,” said Tom Wehmeier, a partner and head of research at Atomico. “Twenty-one percent of all rounds in Europe this year involved participation from a U.S. or Asian investor. That’s doubled since five years ago. This funding is especially important in later-stage funding deals.”

“There is certainly more availability of capital in Europe now,” said Luciana Lixandru a partner at Accel in London commenting on what has changed in the European funding ecosystem. “Ten years ago there was this stereotype that European founders are not ambitious enough. This is no longer the conversation.”

According to Wehmeier and reflected in this report “We’re seeing the successes of the first generation of European tech startups become a platform for even greater success. This matters because you need three things to have a tech ecosystem: talent, capital and belief. The first generation of successes has birthed talent and is attracting more and more capital from Europe-specific funds. But continued successes have also made people believe in the potential of this ecosystem. Belief is what helps people with great ideas today become the founders of tomorrow. It’s what makes people give up the security of a well-paid corporate job for the unpredictability of startup life. And it shapes capital allocation and investment.”

The increase in funding in 2019 to European startups is visible at all stages. And with many firms active in venture, we see a robust ecosystem developing across Europe.

Methodology

For the regional divisions, we relied on the United Nations Geoscheme for Europe, which is produced by the United Nations Statistics Division. Information about the Geoscheme can be found on Wikipedia or on the website of the UN Statistics Division

Please note that all funding values are given in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted. Crunchbase converts foreign currencies to U.S. dollars at the prevailing spot rate from the date funding rounds, acquisitions, IPOs and other financial events as reported. Even if those events were added to Crunchbase long after the event was announced, foreign currency transactions are converted at the historic spot price.

Analysis is based on data in Crunchbase as of Jan. 7, 2020.

Glossary of Funding Terms

    • Seed/Angel include financings that are classified as a seed or angel, including accelerator fundings and equity crowdfunding below $5 million.
    • Early-stage venture includes financings that are classified as a Series A or B, venture rounds without a designated series that are below $15 million and equity crowdfunding above $5 million unless otherwise noted.
    • Late stage venture includes financings that are classified as a Series C+ and venture rounds greater than $15 million.
    • Note: Fundings denoted by Crunchbase as corporate rounds or private equity are not included in this report. In some instances, this will impact totals to a significant degree.

Illustration: Dom Guzman

Stay up to date with recent funding rounds, acquisitions, and more with the
Crunchbase Daily.


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